An analysis of the potential contenders for the 2023-2024 NBA Championship and the reasons behind their candidacy

Analyzing title contenders across six tiers. Traditionally, NBA postseason narratives suggest only a select few teams have a shot at the championship. Parity remains elusive, with a handful of powerhouses dominating the league's history, for better or worse. Yet, this year offers a different perspective. There's a growing sense that even the top teams might face unexpected challenges in the playoffs, opening the door to diverse outcomes. The league has long pursued a more balanced field of contenders, and we might be nearing that reality. In recent years, we've witnessed a shift. While certain teams dominated the championship scene for much of the century, new contenders like the Raptors, Bucks, and Nuggets have emerged. Even the victories of stars like Steph Curry and LeBron James felt more like farewell performances than displays of dominance. With this in mind, here's an optimistic assessment of 15 teams with a shot at the title. This list explores various tiers, potential scenarios, and the obstacles that could hinder their success.

Tier 1: Elite Contenders

Two teams stand out as the top contenders in the game, particularly when it comes to the playoffs: the Boston Celtics and Denver Nuggets. This isn't surprising news, and there's not much more to add. For any other team on this list to have a chance, one or both of the Celtics and Nuggets would have to be defeated by a lesser opponent. Both teams rank in the top 10 in offensive and defensive rating, which historically indicates championship-caliber teams. However, repeating as champions is no easy feat, especially for the Nuggets in the loaded Western Conference. As for the Celtics, who remarkably lead the league in offensive rating and rank second in defensive rating, there are concerns about Jayson Tatum's performance in the playoffs. While the acquisitions of Jrue Holiday and Kristaps Porzingis were brilliant moves by the front office, questions remain about Tatum's clutch shooting. It's been noted that Tatum has struggled in clutch situations over the past five seasons, and championship teams rely on their stars to deliver in crucial moments. Despite being the favorites in the East and West, respectively, the Celtics and Nuggets face formidable challenges from other talented teams across the league.

Tier 2: Skill against Seasoned Expertise


Two promising teams, the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Minnesota Timberwolves, have had impressive regular seasons but lack postseason experience, which some NBA veterans view as a significant obstacle. Despite their potential, both teams have yet to prove themselves in the playoffs. The Thunder, led by standout players Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Chet Holmgren, possess a formidable roster and show promise as contenders. However, their lack of playoff experience could hinder their championship aspirations. Similarly, the Timberwolves, led by rising star Anthony Edwards, face challenges due to their youth and limited playoff exposure. Despite their defensive prowess and talented rosters, their postseason inexperience remains a concern.

Tier 3: New Coach, New Year

The Milwaukee Bucks are surging, boasting a talented roster led by Giannis Antetokounmpo and on a winning streak. However, doubts persist about their coach, Doc Rivers, despite the team's potential to contend for the championship.

Tier 4: They're contenders despite significant uncertainties.

The New York Knicks, Cleveland Cavaliers, Los Angeles Clippers, and New Orleans Pelicans all present promising glimpses of potential in the NBA landscape. However, as we near the critical phase of the season, each team faces its unique set of challenges and uncertainties.

For the Knicks, injuries to key players like OG Anunoby and Julius Randle have raised concerns about their immediate prospects, despite their resilient performances led by Jalen Brunson. The Cavaliers showcase defensive prowess and depth, yet Donovan Mitchell's injury status casts a shadow over their offensive consistency. The Clippers possess undeniable talent, especially with a healthy Kawhi Leonard, but recent struggles raise doubts about their postseason readiness. Meanwhile, the Pelicans' balanced game and recent victories offer hope for a breakthrough, albeit tempered by past disappointments. Despite their potential, each team must navigate obstacles and capitalize on opportunities to solidify their status as true contenders in the NBA.

Tier 5: Extremely risky underachievers

The Miami Heat, Golden State Warriors, Los Angeles Lakers, Phoenix Suns, and Dallas Mavericks have all faced disappointments this season. Though their playoff hopes might hang on a single game, each team possesses the potential to make deep runs if they secure a spot. The Warriors, especially, remain a threat with Stephen Curry leading the charge and Draymond Green strengthening their defense. Similarly, a healthy LeBron James and Anthony Davis could propel the Lakers far, while the Mavericks rely on scoring talent in Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving. Despite their current standings, these teams are formidable contenders in the playoffs.

Tier 6: Last but not least

The Philadelphia 76ers' championship aspirations hinge heavily on Joel Embiid's return and his ability to regain his earlier season form. While this remains a significant uncertainty, it's premature to dismiss the Sixers as underdogs.

If you scrutinize the aforementioned teams from the right angle, nearly half of the NBA seems capable of posing a genuine playoff challenge. This dynamic adds an element of excitement to the game, regardless of the outcome.

Source : CBS Sports